Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | New Orleans Pelicans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 67.6% | 32.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.1% | 60.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.7% | 67.3% | +4.0 | ✓ (1.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 46.4% | 53.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.1% | 57.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New Orleans Pelicans +5 (104-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ray Allen * | 45 | 13-25 | 6-9 | 4-5 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 36 | 20 | - |
| Rashard Lewis * | 39 | 7-16 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 7 | - |
| Chris Wilcox * | 32 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Luke Ridnour * | 28 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Earl Watson * | 22 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Johan Petro * | 19 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Robert Swift * | 19 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Nick Collison * | 18 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Damien Wilkins * | 9 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Mikki Moore | 5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marc Jackson * | 39 | 8-14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 19 | - |
| Chris Paul * | 36 | 5-14 | 0-1 | 11-12 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 15 | - |
| Desmond Mason * | 33 | 7-17 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 8 | - |
| Rasual Butler * | 30 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| P.J. Brown * | 26 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Speedy Claxton * | 26 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Brandon Bass * | 23 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Kirk Snyder * | 12 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Linton Johnson * | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Aaron Williams | 5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter