Model Predictions
| Model | Toronto Raptors | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 35.9% | 64.1% | +3.2 | ✓ (5.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +9 (106-97). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morris Peterson * | 46 | 7-16 | 4-9 | 5-6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 13 | - |
| Mike James * | 41 | 9-22 | 3-8 | 11-13 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 32 | 16 | - |
| Charlie Villanueva * | 40 | 3-10 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Matt Bonner * | 32 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Darrick Martin * | 21 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 17 | - |
| Joey Graham * | 17 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Loren Woods * | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Pape Sow * | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Rafael Araujo * | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Andre Barrett * | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antoine Walker * | 43 | 13-26 | 2-8 | 4-4 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 32 | 21 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 41 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 20 | - |
| Gary Payton * | 37 | 6-15 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 6 | - |
| Shandon Anderson * | 35 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Derek Anderson * | 30 | 5-11 | 4-7 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Shaquille O'Neal * | 28 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 1-5 | 11 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 25 | - |
| Michael Doleac * | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Jason Kapono * | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Wayne Simien | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter