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2006-04-09

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Pacers Detroit Pistons Spread Result
Elo 15.7% 84.3% +7.1 โœ“ (17.9 off)
Bradley-Terry 18.8% 81.2% - โœ“
Margin 18.7% 81.3% +8.1 โœ“ (16.9 off)
Pythagorean 41.6% 58.4% - โœ“
Efficiency 29.2% 70.8% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 29.1% 70.9% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 29.1% 70.9% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 33.4% 66.6% - โœ“

Actual: Detroit Pistons +25 (98-73). Ratings: 2005-06 season-end ratings.

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jermaine O'Neal * 34 6-12 0-0 0-0 5 2 1 2 6 12 4 -
Peja Stojakovic * 31 5-12 0-1 1-1 5 2 0 0 1 11 5 -
Stephen Jackson * 31 4-12 0-2 7-8 1 1 2 0 2 15 5 -
Jeff Foster * 26 0-3 0-0 1-2 8 2 2 0 0 1 10 -
Fred Jones * 25 1-3 0-0 2-2 4 1 1 0 2 4 5 -
Austin Croshere * 24 4-6 1-3 0-0 4 1 0 0 2 9 6 -
Anthony Johnson * 24 2-7 0-1 0-0 5 2 1 0 3 4 2 -
Sarunas Jasikevicius * 23 1-6 0-3 7-7 2 6 0 0 0 9 11 -
Danny Granger * 14 0-3 0-1 3-6 0 0 3 1 1 3 3 -
Eddie Gill 4 1-2 1-1 2-2 1 0 0 0 1 5 3 -

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ben Wallace * 34 2-5 0-0 0-0 22 4 3 2 1 4 29 -
Rasheed Wallace * 28 4-8 1-2 0-0 4 1 0 1 1 9 6 -
Chauncey Billups * 27 4-10 3-5 0-0 3 5 1 2 0 11 12 -
Tayshaun Prince * 26 6-15 1-2 4-5 3 3 1 0 1 17 8 -
Richard Hamilton * 25 5-12 0-3 2-2 0 3 0 0 3 12 0 -
Antonio McDyess * 24 5-9 0-0 0-0 8 3 1 1 2 10 12 -
Lindsey Hunter * 20 6-8 2-3 0-0 1 5 0 0 2 14 10 -
Maurice Evans * 16 2-5 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 4 -1 -
Tony Delk 22 5-12 0-2 1-1 6 2 3 0 2 11 8 -
Carlos Delfino 5 2-3 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 4 1 -
Dale Davis 4 0-2 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
Kelvin Cato 4 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 -

* = starter