Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 28.8% | 71.2% | +5.0 | ✗ (11.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.2% | 56.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs -6 (86-92). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Terry * | 41 | 7-13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 41 | 11-24 | 1-3 | 7-8 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 30 | 20 | - |
| Jerry Stackhouse * | 38 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 4 | - |
| Josh Howard * | 33 | 9-13 | 1-1 | 3-5 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 20 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 26 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| DeSagana Diop * | 21 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Josh Powell * | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Marquis Daniels * | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Darrell Armstrong * | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Duncan * | 38 | 5-15 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Bruce Bowen * | 33 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Manu Ginobili * | 32 | 7-18 | 1-6 | 7-8 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 11 | - |
| Michael Finley * | 31 | 4-12 | 3-5 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Tony Parker * | 31 | 5-15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | -1 | - |
| Fabricio Oberto * | 21 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Nick Van Exel * | 16 | 5-8 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Nazr Mohammed * | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Brent Barry * | 14 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Rasho Nesterovic | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter