Model Predictions
| Model | Milwaukee Bucks | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 33.2% | 66.8% | +3.8 | ✓ (22.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +26 (115-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Bell * | 38 | 11-18 | 6-9 | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 29 | 16 | - |
| Michael Redd * | 33 | 5-14 | 0-2 | 6-6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 6 | - |
| Mo Williams * | 29 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Toni Kukoc * | 25 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 16 | - |
| Jamaal Magloire * | 23 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - |
| T.J. Ford * | 18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Bobby Simmons * | 17 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Andrew Bogut * | 16 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Joe Smith * | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Dan Gadzuric * | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Ervin Johnson * | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Jiri Welsch | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shaquille O'Neal * | 32 | 9-13 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 27 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 32 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 2-7 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 18 | - |
| Derek Anderson * | 31 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 15 | - |
| Gary Payton * | 31 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 4-5 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Antoine Walker * | 30 | 6-7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 27 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 12 | - |
| Shandon Anderson * | 25 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Michael Doleac * | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Wayne Simien | 6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Jason Kapono | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Earl Barron | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Dorell Wright | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter