Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Trail Blazers | Oklahoma City Thunder | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.1% | 92.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.1% | 73.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 15.2% | 84.8% | +9.5 | ✓ (29.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.3% | 66.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 21.5% | 78.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 24.6% | 75.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 24.6% | 75.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.7% | 69.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder +39 (122-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joel Przybilla * | 32 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 15 | - |
| Darius Miles * | 28 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Martell Webster * | 28 | 3-10 | 0-4 | 8-8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Steve Blake * | 27 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Jarrett Jack * | 25 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Sebastian Telfair * | 22 | 7-13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 5 | - |
| Juan Dixon * | 17 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 5-5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Viktor Khryapa * | 16 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Zach Randolph * | 14 | 2-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -5 | - |
| Travis Outlaw * | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Brian Skinner * | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Wilcox * | 32 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 20 | - |
| Earl Watson * | 31 | 7-13 | 6-7 | 3-3 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 15 | - |
| Damien Wilkins * | 28 | 9-11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 13 | - |
| Ray Allen * | 28 | 7-13 | 3-5 | 7-7 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 24 | - |
| Robert Swift * | 24 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Luke Ridnour * | 22 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Mikki Moore * | 20 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Noel Felix * | 19 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Johan Petro * | 18 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Mike Wilks | 13 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | - |
* = starter