Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.2% | 89.8% | +8.9 | ✓ (15.1 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.1% | 77.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 13.9% | 86.1% | +10.0 | ✓ (14.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.7% | 60.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 24.2% | 75.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 23.0% | 77.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 22.9% | 77.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 29.6% | 70.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +24 (103-79). Ratings: 2005-06 season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carmelo Anthony * | 37 | 9-24 | 2-7 | 5-6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 25 | 1 | - |
| Andre Miller * | 34 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Greg Buckner * | 31 | 2-8 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Marcus Camby * | 28 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Ruben Patterson * | 27 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 6 | - |
| Reggie Evans * | 23 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Kenyon Martin * | 19 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Howard Eisley * | 17 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -5 | - |
| Eduardo Najera * | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Linas Kleiza | 4 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| DerMarr Johnson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 40 | 10-19 | 2-4 | 8-8 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 30 | 26 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 38 | 9-16 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 14 | - |
| Jerry Stackhouse * | 35 | 4-9 | 0-3 | 6-7 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Josh Howard * | 32 | 6-14 | 0-0 | 8-9 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 11 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 26 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 16 | - |
| Josh Powell * | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| DeSagana Diop * | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Darrell Armstrong * | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Rawle Marshall * | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| DJ Mbenga * | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter