Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Cleveland Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 52.1% | 47.9% | -0.5 | ✗ (7.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.0% | 48.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers +7 (106-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwyane Wade * | 42 | 18-36 | 1-4 | 7-9 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 44 | 27 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 35 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 16 | - |
| Gary Payton * | 27 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Shandon Anderson * | 25 | 4-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Jason Williams * | 24 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Derek Anderson * | 24 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Antoine Walker * | 22 | 2-10 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Michael Doleac * | 21 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Wayne Simien * | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeBron James * | 45 | 16-25 | 2-6 | 13-14 | 12 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 47 | 41 | - |
| Flip Murray * | 32 | 3-8 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -1 | - |
| Zydrunas Ilgauskas * | 27 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Damon Jones * | 26 | 4-8 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Donyell Marshall * | 24 | 3-13 | 0-8 | 1-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | - |
| Anderson Varejao * | 23 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Eric Snow * | 22 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Drew Gooden * | 20 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Sasha Pavlovic * | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Ira Newble * | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter