Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Cleveland Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 48.2% | 51.8% | +0.4 | ✓ (12.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.7% | 50.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers +13 (107-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 38 | 9-18 | 2-4 | 9-12 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 29 | 19 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 36 | 6-12 | 0-3 | 5-6 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 15 | - |
| Jerry Stackhouse * | 34 | 8-15 | 0-2 | 7-7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 23 | 10 | - |
| Marquis Daniels * | 22 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Rawle Marshall * | 19 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| DeSagana Diop * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - |
| Keith Van Horn * | 18 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 17 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | - |
| Darrell Armstrong * | 13 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Josh Powell * | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| DJ Mbenga | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - |
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeBron James * | 43 | 16-23 | 4-7 | 10-13 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 46 | 33 | - |
| Zydrunas Ilgauskas * | 33 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 13 | 18 | - |
| Damon Jones * | 31 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Donyell Marshall * | 28 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Flip Murray * | 26 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | - |
| Drew Gooden * | 24 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Eric Snow * | 22 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Ira Newble * | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Sasha Pavlovic * | 9 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Anderson Varejao * | 7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Alan Henderson | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Stephen Graham | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter