Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 41.9% | 58.1% | +1.8 | ✗ (5.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors -4 (94-98). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwyane Wade * | 39 | 12-23 | 0-2 | 13-15 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 37 | 19 | - |
| Antoine Walker * | 36 | 8-18 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 7 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 34 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 7-9 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 19 | - |
| Jason Williams * | 25 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Wayne Simien * | 22 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Gary Payton * | 22 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| James Posey * | 17 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Shandon Anderson * | 16 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Michael Doleac * | 12 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Derek Anderson * | 11 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike James * | 46 | 9-22 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 11 | - |
| Charlie Villanueva * | 45 | 4-15 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Morris Peterson * | 41 | 11-20 | 4-10 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 13 | - |
| Matt Bonner * | 28 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Eric Williams * | 25 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 6-7 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 16 | - |
| Pape Sow * | 19 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Rafael Araujo * | 14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Joey Graham * | 10 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -1 | - |
| Andre Barrett | 7 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
* = starter