Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Charlotte Hornets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.4% | 84.6% | +7.2 | ✓ (0.8 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.5% | 57.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.6% | 68.4% | +4.2 | ✓ (3.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 44.7% | 55.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 44.3% | 55.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 44.2% | 55.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.5% | 58.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Charlotte Hornets +8 (125-117). Ratings: 2005-06 season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Johnson * | 48 | 15-24 | 4-8 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 35 | 21 | - |
| Josh Smith * | 41 | 7-15 | 0-3 | 6-7 | 14 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 20 | 32 | - |
| Al Harrington * | 36 | 7-15 | 0-3 | 2-6 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Josh Childress * | 34 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 10-10 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Marvin Williams * | 26 | 6-10 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 1 | - |
| Zaza Pachulia * | 23 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 8-8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Royal Ivey * | 19 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Esteban Batista * | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
Charlotte Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gerald Wallace * | 42 | 17-22 | 0-1 | 7-11 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 41 | 35 | - |
| Raymond Felton * | 41 | 11-19 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 28 | 20 | - |
| Brevin Knight * | 40 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 3 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 19 | - |
| Jumaine Jones * | 37 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Jake Voskuhl * | 29 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 17 | - |
| Bernard Robinson * | 17 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Melvin Ely * | 9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Lonny Baxter * | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Kareem Rush * | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Matt Carroll | 7 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -1 | - |
* = starter