Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 32.6% | 67.4% | +4.0 | ✓ (1.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +5 (96-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Jackson * | 41 | 9-16 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 10 | - |
| Jermaine O'Neal * | 36 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 16 | - |
| Peja Stojakovic * | 35 | 7-16 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 8 | - |
| Jamaal Tinsley * | 33 | 4-17 | 0-4 | 2-4 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 1 | - |
| Anthony Johnson * | 28 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Scot Pollard * | 26 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Danny Granger * | 23 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -1 | - |
| Jeff Foster * | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | - |
| Sarunas Jasikevicius | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwyane Wade * | 42 | 7-21 | 0-0 | 8-9 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 12 | - |
| Shaquille O'Neal * | 36 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 11-14 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 21 | - |
| Jason Williams * | 31 | 8-14 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 7 | - |
| Antoine Walker * | 25 | 5-11 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Gary Payton * | 25 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Wayne Simien * | 23 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| James Posey * | 21 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Shandon Anderson * | 15 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Michael Doleac * | 10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
* = starter