Model Predictions
| Model | Charlotte Hornets | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.0% | 65.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 17.5% | 82.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 12.4% | 87.6% | +10.7 | ✓ (3.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.2% | 63.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 21.7% | 78.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 20.1% | 79.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 20.1% | 79.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.4% | 71.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +7 (102-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Charlotte Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brevin Knight * | 43 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 7-9 | 3 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 27 | - |
| Gerald Wallace * | 38 | 6-11 | 1-2 | 12-16 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 25 | 26 | - |
| Kareem Rush * | 35 | 8-15 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 14 | - |
| Primoz Brezec * | 29 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Jumaine Jones * | 20 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -4 | - |
| Bernard Robinson * | 19 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Jake Voskuhl * | 15 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Melvin Ely * | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Matt Carroll * | 13 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Alan Anderson * | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Kevin Burleson * | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pau Gasol * | 43 | 12-20 | 0-0 | 9-14 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 33 | 30 | - |
| Shane Battier * | 40 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 11 | - |
| Mike Miller * | 39 | 7-17 | 3-7 | 3-3 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 13 | - |
| Eddie Jones * | 33 | 3-9 | 1-7 | 3-5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Chucky Atkins * | 25 | 1-10 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -5 | - |
| Bobby Jackson * | 22 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Lorenzen Wright * | 16 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Brian Cardinal * | 15 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Hakim Warrick | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Dahntay Jones | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter