Model Predictions
| Model | Charlotte Hornets | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 19.4% | 80.6% | +7.8 | ✓ (13.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.3% | 62.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +21 (114-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Charlotte Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raymond Felton * | 38 | 9-19 | 4-10 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 8 | - |
| Bernard Robinson * | 33 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Brevin Knight * | 28 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 17 | - |
| Primoz Brezec * | 22 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Matt Carroll * | 21 | 2-9 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 1 | - |
| Jumaine Jones * | 21 | 2-9 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -3 | - |
| Gerald Wallace * | 19 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 14 | - |
| Alan Anderson * | 15 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Melvin Ely * | 14 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Jake Voskuhl | 11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Kareem Rush | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Lonny Baxter | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Udonis Haslem * | 31 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 16 | - |
| Jason Williams * | 30 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 30 | 9-13 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 24 | 22 | - |
| James Posey * | 27 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Shaquille O'Neal * | 25 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 6-10 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 21 | - |
| Gary Payton * | 22 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Antoine Walker * | 21 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Michael Doleac * | 16 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Shandon Anderson * | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Derek Anderson * | 12 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Wayne Simien | 5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Earl Barron | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter