Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Pistons | Indiana Pacers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 68.1% | 31.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 69.2% | 30.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 55.1% | 44.9% | -1.1 | ✓ (1.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.2% | 47.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 64.8% | 35.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 64.4% | 35.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 64.5% | 35.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.5% | 46.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Pacers -3 (72-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chauncey Billups * | 39 | 3-10 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Richard Hamilton * | 36 | 7-16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 3 | - |
| Tayshaun Prince * | 31 | 4-10 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Rasheed Wallace * | 31 | 4-13 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Antonio McDyess * | 26 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Ben Wallace * | 26 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-8 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 11 | - |
| Carlos Delfino * | 16 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Lindsey Hunter * | 15 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Dale Davis * | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Maurice Evans | 4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Jackson * | 42 | 4-11 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Peja Stojakovic * | 40 | 6-14 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Anthony Johnson * | 29 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Jermaine O'Neal * | 28 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Jamaal Tinsley * | 26 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Danny Granger * | 25 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| David Harrison * | 24 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Jeff Foster * | 22 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | - |
* = starter