Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 52.5% | 47.5% | -0.5 | ✓ (0.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.4% | 48.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks -1 (121-122). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Richardson * | 40 | 14-23 | 5-10 | 7-8 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 40 | 27 | - |
| Mike Dunleavy * | 40 | 8-17 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 15 | - |
| Derek Fisher * | 37 | 4-16 | 2-6 | 7-8 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 16 | - |
| Troy Murphy * | 28 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Monta Ellis * | 24 | 5-11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Adonal Foyle * | 23 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Will Bynum * | 14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Ike Diogu * | 11 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Andris Biedrins * | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Mickael Pietrus * | 7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 40 | 16-24 | 3-4 | 16-17 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 51 | 39 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 33 | 10-18 | 2-7 | 7-8 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 29 | 18 | - |
| Marquis Daniels * | 28 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Jerry Stackhouse * | 27 | 0-6 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Rawle Marshall * | 26 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 21 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | - |
| DeSagana Diop * | 20 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | - |
| Josh Powell * | 9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Darrell Armstrong | 23 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 10 | - |
| DJ Mbenga | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
* = starter