Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Detroit Pistons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 58.3% | 41.7% | -1.8 | ✗ (10.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.3% | 45.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Detroit Pistons +9 (82-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shaquille O'Neal * | 42 | 12-21 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 27 | 16 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 40 | 3-15 | 1-3 | 6-8 | 3 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 33 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Jason Williams * | 31 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Gary Payton * | 28 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Antoine Walker * | 28 | 5-14 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 4 | - |
| James Posey * | 22 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Shandon Anderson * | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning * | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Michael Doleac | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tayshaun Prince * | 42 | 7-14 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Rasheed Wallace * | 41 | 3-12 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 12 | - |
| Chauncey Billups * | 39 | 5-16 | 3-8 | 11-12 | 5 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 19 | - |
| Richard Hamilton * | 34 | 7-15 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 8 | - |
| Ben Wallace * | 32 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 15 | - |
| Antonio McDyess * | 21 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Tony Delk * | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Maurice Evans * | 9 | 0-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Lindsey Hunter * | 8 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter