Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 41.3% | 58.7% | +1.9 | ✓ (9.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.6% | 52.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs +11 (107-96). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Dunleavy * | 42 | 5-13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Troy Murphy * | 41 | 6-14 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 6 | - |
| Jason Richardson * | 38 | 5-18 | 1-5 | 9-11 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 8 | - |
| Derek Fisher * | 35 | 9-17 | 0-3 | 9-9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 13 | - |
| Adonal Foyle * | 27 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 13 | - |
| Monta Ellis * | 18 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Andris Biedrins * | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Mickael Pietrus * | 11 | 0-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -5 | - |
| Ike Diogu * | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Zarko Cabarkapa | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Will Bynum | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Duncan * | 34 | 10-18 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 20 | - |
| Tony Parker * | 33 | 9-19 | 0-0 | 11-13 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 29 | 17 | - |
| Manu Ginobili * | 28 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Bruce Bowen * | 27 | 0-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Michael Finley * | 27 | 3-10 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 2 | - |
| Nazr Mohammed * | 24 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 15 | - |
| Robert Horry * | 21 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Brent Barry * | 15 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Beno Udrih * | 14 | 5-8 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Rasho Nesterovic * | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Melvin Sanders | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter