Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 43.8% | 56.2% | +1.4 | ✓ (14.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.9% | 51.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +16 (88-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luther Head * | 45 | 4-10 | 2-4 | 6-6 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Rafer Alston * | 40 | 4-10 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Keith Bogans * | 38 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Ming Yao * | 38 | 6-15 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Juwan Howard * | 32 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Stromile Swift * | 17 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Dikembe Mutombo * | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Rick Brunson | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Richie Frahm | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Ryan Bowen | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Chuck Hayes | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marquis Daniels * | 40 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 38 | 5-12 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 3 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 36 | 10-21 | 1-3 | 7-9 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 28 | 11 | - |
| Jerry Stackhouse * | 26 | 3-11 | 1-2 | 9-10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 23 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Josh Powell * | 22 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| DeSagana Diop * | 19 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Rawle Marshall * | 16 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Darrell Armstrong | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| DJ Mbenga | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter