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2006-03-20

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Lakers Boston Celtics Spread Result
Elo 72.1% 27.9% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 60.0% 40.0% - โœ“
Margin 51.8% 48.2% -0.4 โœ“ (7.6 off)
Pythagorean 51.8% 48.2% - โœ“
Efficiency 59.9% 40.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 60.7% 39.3% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 60.7% 39.3% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 51.8% 48.2% - โœ“

Actual: Boston Celtics -8 (97-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kobe Bryant * 40 18-39 0-5 7-10 5 4 5 0 2 43 16 -
Lamar Odom * 40 6-10 3-5 2-2 9 4 0 0 7 17 13 -
Smush Parker * 35 6-11 2-5 0-0 5 5 1 0 1 14 13 -
Kwame Brown * 34 5-7 0-0 1-2 9 5 0 0 0 11 18 -
Luke Walton * 29 3-9 1-2 2-2 6 4 1 1 1 9 11 -
Devean George * 17 1-3 0-1 0-0 3 1 3 0 1 2 5 -
Brian Cook * 14 3-6 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 0 0 6 6 -
Sasha Vujacic * 12 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 3 5 -
Jim Jackson * 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 0 4 -
Andrew Bynum * 4 0-3 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3 -
Ronny Turiaf 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Wally Szczerbiak * 39 6-14 2-6 1-1 3 2 1 0 2 15 5 -
Delonte West * 38 5-14 1-3 2-2 2 7 1 0 3 13 6 -
Paul Pierce * 36 8-19 2-8 8-11 9 2 1 1 5 26 15 -
Ryan Gomes * 30 4-9 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 8 4 -
Tony Allen * 29 5-11 0-2 8-9 2 3 2 4 3 18 15 -
Raef LaFrentz * 22 2-5 0-2 3-4 10 3 1 0 1 7 15 -
Kendrick Perkins * 17 2-4 0-0 1-1 8 3 1 3 0 5 16 -
Orien Greene * 11 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 2 5 -
Al Jefferson * 10 1-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 1 2 2 -
Gerald Green * 2 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 -

* = starter