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2006-03-18

Model Predictions

Model Miami Heat Chicago Bulls Spread Result
Margin 49.7% 50.3% +0.1 (1.1 off)
Pythagorean 50.9% 49.1% -

Actual: Chicago Bulls -1 (84-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Miami Heat

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Shaquille O'Neal * 31 4-12 0-0 5-9 5 3 0 3 5 13 7 -
Gary Payton * 30 3-9 1-3 5-6 6 1 1 0 0 12 11 -
Jason Williams * 30 4-11 3-7 1-1 5 5 0 0 2 12 9 -
Udonis Haslem * 29 2-5 0-0 1-1 11 0 1 0 0 5 12 -
Dwyane Wade * 29 1-8 0-0 13-13 4 2 3 0 10 15 6 -
James Posey * 28 3-9 2-7 0-0 5 3 1 2 1 8 9 -
Antoine Walker * 26 5-14 3-6 0-0 6 4 2 0 3 13 8 -
Derek Anderson * 17 1-3 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 -
Alonzo Mourning * 16 0-0 0-0 4-8 3 0 0 4 1 4 10 -

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Luol Deng * 42 8-15 0-1 3-5 10 2 2 2 2 19 18 -
Kirk Hinrich * 38 5-15 3-9 2-2 0 7 2 0 1 15 8 -
Andres Nocioni * 33 6-16 0-2 2-4 12 2 1 1 5 14 9 -
Ben Gordon * 28 3-10 0-1 0-0 0 5 1 0 0 6 2 -
Malik Allen * 27 6-11 0-0 0-0 4 1 2 0 1 12 7 -
Chris Duhon * 20 2-7 1-2 0-0 2 3 0 0 2 5 1 -
Tyson Chandler * 15 1-1 0-0 0-2 7 0 1 1 2 2 8 -
Michael Sweetney 16 1-2 0-0 2-4 3 0 0 0 2 4 3 -
Jannero Pargo 8 3-4 1-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 3 7 1 -
Luke Schenscher 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 1 1 0 1 -
Othella Harrington 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 3 -

* = starter