Model Predictions
| Model | Milwaukee Bucks | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 57.4% | 42.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.5% | 40.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 42.6% | 57.4% | +1.6 | ✓ (0.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.1% | 50.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 52.3% | 47.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 52.7% | 47.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 52.7% | 47.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.3% | 52.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors +1 (97-96). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bobby Simmons * | 39 | 7-13 | 3-5 | 4-4 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 17 | - |
| T.J. Ford * | 39 | 7-12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 18 | - |
| Michael Redd * | 38 | 7-20 | 2-7 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 3 | - |
| Jamaal Magloire * | 32 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 4-11 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Andrew Bogut * | 24 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Joe Smith * | 23 | 4-13 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Charlie Bell * | 17 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Dan Gadzuric * | 13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Mo Williams * | 11 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Bosh * | 45 | 9-22 | 0-0 | 9-9 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 17 | - |
| Morris Peterson * | 43 | 4-13 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Mike James * | 40 | 5-16 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Matt Bonner * | 25 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Charlie Villanueva * | 24 | 4-11 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Joey Graham * | 21 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Pape Sow * | 16 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Andre Barrett * | 16 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Rafael Araujo | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
* = starter