Model Predictions
| Model | Boston Celtics | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 41.9% | 58.1% | +1.8 | ✓ (1.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +3 (107-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Pierce * | 42 | 12-26 | 4-8 | 6-9 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 34 | 20 | - |
| Delonte West * | 41 | 6-13 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Ryan Gomes * | 39 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 14 | - |
| Wally Szczerbiak * | 38 | 13-18 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 30 | 13 | - |
| Raef LaFrentz * | 21 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Kendrick Perkins * | 18 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Al Jefferson * | 13 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Tony Allen * | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Orien Greene * | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Brian Scalabrine * | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shaquille O'Neal * | 39 | 12-19 | 0-0 | 2-9 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 19 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 39 | 12-20 | 0-2 | 6-11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 30 | 21 | - |
| Jason Williams * | 35 | 7-12 | 3-6 | 4-4 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 14 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 34 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 16 | - |
| Gary Payton * | 23 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| James Posey * | 22 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Derek Anderson * | 16 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning * | 13 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Antoine Walker * | 10 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Shandon Anderson * | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter