Model Predictions
| Model | Cleveland Cavaliers | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.2% | 68.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.0% | 71.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 18.7% | 81.3% | +8.1 | ✓ (4.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.1% | 57.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 29.7% | 70.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 28.8% | 71.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 28.7% | 71.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.4% | 66.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +4 (91-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeBron James * | 44 | 14-27 | 0-2 | 8-8 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 36 | 24 | - |
| Flip Murray * | 38 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 4 | - |
| Zydrunas Ilgauskas * | 32 | 7-17 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Eric Snow * | 30 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Damon Jones * | 30 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Drew Gooden * | 27 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Donyell Marshall * | 24 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Anderson Varejao * | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Ira Newble | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 44 | 12-28 | 1-3 | 5-5 | 13 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 30 | 22 | - |
| Marquis Daniels * | 43 | 7-15 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 10 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 39 | 7-17 | 1-4 | 5-7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 9 | - |
| Jerry Stackhouse * | 32 | 4-14 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 30 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 18 | - |
| DeSagana Diop * | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Rawle Marshall * | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Darrell Armstrong * | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Josh Powell | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| DJ Mbenga | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter