Model Predictions
| Model | Boston Celtics | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.0% | 87.0% | +7.9 | ✓ (9.1 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.7% | 75.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 18.2% | 81.8% | +8.3 | ✓ (8.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.5% | 59.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 29.8% | 70.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 28.1% | 71.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 28.1% | 71.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.1% | 66.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +17 (93-76). Ratings: 2005-06 season-end ratings.
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Pierce * | 34 | 6-14 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 4 | - |
| Wally Szczerbiak * | 32 | 6-13 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 10 | - |
| Delonte West * | 28 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Raef LaFrentz * | 25 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Kendrick Perkins * | 24 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Orien Greene * | 22 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Tony Allen * | 20 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Ryan Gomes * | 20 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Al Jefferson * | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Gerald Green * | 4 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Brian Scalabrine | 10 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Dwayne Jones | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pau Gasol * | 38 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Jake Tsakalidis * | 35 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 7-10 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 27 | - |
| Chucky Atkins * | 35 | 5-10 | 3-4 | 5-5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 10 | - |
| Eddie Jones * | 33 | 4-9 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 19 | - |
| Shane Battier * | 29 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Mike Miller * | 20 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Lorenzen Wright * | 13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Antonio Burks * | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Dahntay Jones * | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Hakim Warrick | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Anthony Roberson | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Lawrence Roberts | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter