Model Predictions
| Model | Utah Jazz | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 34.9% | 65.1% | +3.4 | ✓ (34.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +38 (121-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Utah Jazz
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mehmet Okur * | 26 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Keith McLeod * | 25 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Andrei Kirilenko * | 25 | 2-9 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Carlos Boozer * | 23 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Matt Harpring * | 23 | 9-14 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 12 | - |
| Deron Williams * | 22 | 4-11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -2 | - |
| Jarron Collins * | 21 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Devin Brown * | 19 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| CJ Miles * | 15 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -2 | - |
| Kris Humphries * | 14 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Milt Palacio * | 14 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Greg Ostertag * | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Udonis Haslem * | 29 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 12 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 29 | 9-13 | 0-1 | 7-7 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 24 | - |
| James Posey * | 28 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 3-3 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 15 | - |
| Jason Williams * | 25 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Derek Anderson * | 23 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 6-6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Gary Payton * | 22 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning * | 20 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 11-13 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 16 | - |
| Shaquille O'Neal * | 17 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Antoine Walker * | 12 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Shandon Anderson | 10 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Michael Doleac | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Wayne Simien | 9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
* = starter