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2006-03-14

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors Philadelphia 76ers Spread Result
Elo 21.1% 78.9% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 31.2% 68.8% - โœ—
Margin 32.0% 68.0% +4.1 โœ— (18.1 off)
Pythagorean 45.9% 54.1% - โœ—
Efficiency 43.9% 56.1% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 45.1% 54.9% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 45.2% 54.8% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 41.7% 58.3% - โœ—

Actual: Philadelphia 76ers -14 (97-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Chris Bosh * 43 10-15 0-0 11-12 7 3 1 2 2 31 27 -
Charlie Villanueva * 37 4-10 0-1 0-0 14 0 0 3 2 8 13 -
Mike James * 34 6-12 2-6 0-0 3 9 5 0 3 14 16 -
Morris Peterson * 33 5-12 2-4 2-2 3 4 2 0 1 14 10 -
Matt Bonner * 27 3-8 2-7 2-2 5 1 0 0 3 10 5 -
Darrick Martin * 27 4-8 4-6 6-6 2 12 2 0 1 18 25 -
Joey Graham * 20 5-7 0-1 4-4 2 0 3 0 1 14 11 -
Pape Sow * 11 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 2 0 -
Rafael Araujo 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
John Salmons * 45 8-14 1-1 6-6 3 3 0 0 3 23 12 -
Andre Iguodala * 42 3-9 0-4 13-15 6 5 3 0 3 19 21 -
Chris Webber * 41 11-21 1-2 0-0 11 5 1 1 4 23 16 -
Kyle Korver * 31 2-7 1-5 1-1 1 5 1 0 4 6 2 -
Matt Barnes * 28 5-8 0-0 4-6 4 1 1 0 4 14 8 -
Steven Hunter * 18 3-3 0-0 2-8 2 0 0 0 1 8 6 -
Samuel Dalembert * 18 1-2 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 1 1 2 7 -
Lou Williams * 10 0-4 0-1 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -2 -
Shavlik Randolph 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter