Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Milwaukee Bucks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.5% | 69.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.7% | 72.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.1% | 77.9% | +6.9 | ✓ (5.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.8% | 58.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 35.0% | 65.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 34.3% | 65.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 34.3% | 65.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.8% | 64.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Milwaukee Bucks +1 (88-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Johnson * | 46 | 3-13 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 9 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 20 | - |
| Josh Smith * | 38 | 10-15 | 1-4 | 4-6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 16 | - |
| Zaza Pachulia * | 32 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Al Harrington * | 30 | 2-11 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Salim Stoudamire * | 27 | 8-14 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 9 | - |
| Marvin Williams * | 26 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Royal Ivey * | 20 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Esteban Batista * | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Donta Smith * | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| John Edwards | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Redd * | 41 | 6-12 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 4 | - |
| Bobby Simmons * | 38 | 6-10 | 1-1 | 5-5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 7 | - |
| Jamaal Magloire * | 35 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3-8 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 20 | - |
| T.J. Ford * | 35 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 16 | - |
| Andrew Bogut * | 30 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Joe Smith * | 22 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Charlie Bell * | 17 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Mo Williams * | 13 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Dan Gadzuric * | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter