Model Predictions
| Model | Charlotte Hornets | Detroit Pistons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.0% | 75.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 9.5% | 90.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 7.7% | 92.3% | +13.7 | ✓ (2.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.8% | 67.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 12.8% | 87.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 12.9% | 87.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 12.9% | 87.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 23.3% | 76.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Detroit Pistons +16 (94-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Charlotte Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jumaine Jones * | 37 | 5-13 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Raymond Felton * | 33 | 7-13 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 10 | - |
| Brevin Knight * | 26 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Melvin Ely * | 26 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Primoz Brezec * | 25 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Matt Carroll * | 24 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Bernard Robinson * | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | - |
| Alan Anderson * | 14 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Jake Voskuhl * | 12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Lonny Baxter * | 6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Gerald Wallace * | 3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Kevin Burleson | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chauncey Billups * | 38 | 2-8 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 3 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Tayshaun Prince * | 37 | 10-17 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 15 | - |
| Rasheed Wallace * | 35 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Richard Hamilton * | 33 | 11-21 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 24 | 9 | - |
| Ben Wallace * | 31 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 21 | - |
| Antonio McDyess * | 27 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 17 | - |
| Maurice Evans * | 18 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - |
| Tony Delk * | 14 | 4-8 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Carlos Delfino | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jason Maxiell | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter