Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.6% | 51.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.4% | 44.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 50.6% | 49.4% | -0.1 | ✗ (7.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.7% | 47.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 60.9% | 39.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 60.9% | 39.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 61.0% | 39.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.2% | 48.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks +7 (113-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Richardson * | 42 | 16-29 | 4-11 | 6-9 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 42 | 25 | - |
| Troy Murphy * | 34 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Mike Dunleavy * | 33 | 4-11 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Adonal Foyle * | 32 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Derek Fisher * | 27 | 4-9 | 2-3 | 2-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 3 | - |
| Mickael Pietrus * | 25 | 3-10 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Baron Davis * | 22 | 3-10 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Monta Ellis * | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Ike Diogu * | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Andris Biedrins | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Johnson * | 48 | 14-27 | 4-10 | 10-10 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 42 | 24 | - |
| Zaza Pachulia * | 41 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Al Harrington * | 38 | 7-15 | 3-3 | 4-9 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 15 | - |
| Josh Smith * | 29 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 19 | - |
| Marvin Williams * | 28 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 8-10 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 21 | - |
| Royal Ivey * | 25 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Salim Stoudamire * | 20 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Esteban Batista * | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Donta Smith | 2 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter