Model Predictions
| Model | Boston Celtics | Washington Wizards | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.7% | 83.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.6% | 70.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 20.8% | 79.2% | +7.4 | ✗ (8.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.4% | 58.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 32.0% | 68.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 31.7% | 68.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 31.6% | 68.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.9% | 65.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Washington Wizards -1 (115-116). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Pierce * | 42 | 8-20 | 3-7 | 12-14 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 31 | 14 | - |
| Wally Szczerbiak * | 41 | 10-16 | 1-4 | 2-4 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 16 | - |
| Ryan Gomes * | 38 | 9-14 | 1-2 | 8-9 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 26 | - |
| Raef LaFrentz * | 37 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 17 | - |
| Tony Allen * | 28 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Orien Greene * | 25 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Brian Scalabrine * | 17 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | - |
| Al Jefferson * | 15 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Michael Olowokandi * | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Gerald Green * | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gilbert Arenas * | 50 | 11-26 | 2-6 | 15-17 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 39 | 17 | - |
| Antawn Jamison * | 46 | 11-21 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 18 | - |
| Caron Butler * | 45 | 9-14 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 23 | 14 | - |
| Antonio Daniels * | 40 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Michael Ruffin * | 27 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Etan Thomas * | 16 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Donell Taylor * | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Brendan Haywood * | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Awvee Storey | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Andray Blatche | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter