Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Trail Blazers | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 2.5% | 97.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 7.5% | 92.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.9% | 97.1% | +19.3 | ✓ (0.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 22.5% | 77.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 3.8% | 96.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 4.6% | 95.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 4.5% | 95.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 15.5% | 84.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs +20 (101-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach Randolph * | 37 | 11-21 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 12 | - |
| Juan Dixon * | 33 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Brian Skinner * | 31 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Steve Blake * | 31 | 6-13 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 3 | - |
| Darius Miles * | 30 | 7-17 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 5 | - |
| Travis Outlaw * | 19 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Jarrett Jack * | 16 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Sebastian Telfair * | 14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Viktor Khryapa * | 13 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Martell Webster * | 12 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Duncan * | 36 | 10-16 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 27 | - |
| Bruce Bowen * | 36 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Tony Parker * | 33 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 10 | - |
| Brent Barry * | 26 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Manu Ginobili * | 25 | 5-12 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Michael Finley * | 21 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Nazr Mohammed * | 19 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Beno Udrih * | 17 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Rasho Nesterovic * | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Fabricio Oberto * | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter