Model Predictions
| Model | Toronto Raptors | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 35.9% | 64.1% | +3.2 | ✓ (3.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +7 (101-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Villanueva * | 46 | 7-15 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Morris Peterson * | 41 | 7-16 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 10 | - |
| Mike James * | 39 | 10-19 | 3-9 | 3-3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 26 | 10 | - |
| Chris Bosh * | 35 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 19 | - |
| Antonio Davis * | 18 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Matt Bonner * | 17 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Loren Woods * | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jose Calderon * | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Eric Williams | 7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Joey Graham | 6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwyane Wade * | 44 | 15-19 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 32 | 20 | - |
| Shaquille O'Neal * | 37 | 11-16 | 0-0 | 5-15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 27 | 27 | - |
| Antoine Walker * | 33 | 5-13 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Gary Payton * | 29 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 26 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| James Posey * | 22 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Jason Williams * | 21 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Shandon Anderson * | 13 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning * | 9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
* = starter