Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 45.4% | 54.6% | +1.0 | ✓ (8.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +9 (115-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rashard Lewis * | 37 | 8-17 | 4-9 | 5-6 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 17 | - |
| Luke Ridnour * | 37 | 6-16 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 5 | - |
| Ray Allen * | 35 | 6-20 | 2-7 | 7-8 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 9 | - |
| Damien Wilkins * | 34 | 3-10 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Chris Wilcox * | 31 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 16 | - |
| Mikki Moore * | 25 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Mike Wilks * | 22 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Johan Petro * | 15 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwyane Wade * | 41 | 11-20 | 0-0 | 4-9 | 7 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 26 | 22 | - |
| Shaquille O'Neal * | 37 | 15-16 | 0-0 | 1-6 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 31 | 30 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 34 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Jason Williams * | 32 | 4-11 | 1-6 | 4-4 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 13 | - |
| James Posey * | 27 | 5-10 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 18 | - |
| Antoine Walker * | 22 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Gary Payton * | 21 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Shandon Anderson * | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning * | 10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
* = starter