Model Predictions
| Model | Milwaukee Bucks | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 55.9% | 44.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.3% | 38.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 50.3% | 49.7% | -0.1 | ✓ (9.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.4% | 47.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 59.0% | 41.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 59.9% | 40.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 60.0% | 40.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.1% | 48.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks -10 (89-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Redd * | 41 | 7-20 | 1-6 | 6-6 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 13 | - |
| T.J. Ford * | 37 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 17 | - |
| Bobby Simmons * | 36 | 5-13 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Dan Gadzuric * | 25 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 19 | - |
| Joe Smith * | 24 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 18 | - |
| Charlie Bell * | 24 | 5-11 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 1 | - |
| Jiri Welsch * | 22 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Jamaal Magloire * | 18 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Andrew Bogut * | 9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3 | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Johnson * | 43 | 4-15 | 2-7 | 2-3 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Josh Smith * | 42 | 4-14 | 0-2 | 5-8 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 13 | 17 | - |
| Josh Childress * | 37 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Al Harrington * | 36 | 10-19 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 9 | - |
| Zaza Pachulia * | 28 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 7-7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 12 | - |
| Marvin Williams * | 24 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Royal Ivey * | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Esteban Batista * | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter