Model Predictions
| Model | Memphis Grizzlies | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 38.5% | 61.5% | +2.6 | ✓ (7.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +10 (97-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pau Gasol * | 37 | 8-18 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 5 | - |
| Shane Battier * | 36 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Eddie Jones * | 35 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Bobby Jackson * | 31 | 5-16 | 2-6 | 6-6 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 10 | - |
| Mike Miller * | 30 | 4-10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Chucky Atkins * | 26 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Jake Tsakalidis * | 25 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Lorenzen Wright * | 14 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Hakim Warrick | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 39 | 12-23 | 2-4 | 5-5 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 31 | 22 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 37 | 9-11 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 21 | - |
| Adrian Griffin * | 27 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Jerry Stackhouse * | 27 | 6-14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 6 | - |
| DeSagana Diop * | 25 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 22 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - |
| Devin Harris * | 21 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Josh Howard * | 19 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Keith Van Horn * | 11 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Marquis Daniels * | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter