Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 38.2% | 61.8% | +2.6 | ✓ (22.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.7% | 53.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs +25 (103-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Ridnour * | 32 | 5-13 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Ray Allen * | 32 | 6-14 | 2-3 | 6-6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 9 | - |
| Nick Collison * | 27 | 7-16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Johan Petro * | 26 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Damien Wilkins * | 24 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Rashard Lewis * | 23 | 3-10 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Flip Murray * | 22 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Chris Wilcox * | 21 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Mikki Moore * | 16 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Rick Brunson * | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Reggie Evans | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bruce Bowen * | 34 | 6-14 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Tim Duncan * | 32 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 3-8 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 24 | - |
| Tony Parker * | 32 | 13-18 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 30 | 17 | - |
| Manu Ginobili * | 23 | 1-9 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Michael Finley * | 22 | 5-10 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 5 | - |
| Rasho Nesterovic * | 21 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Nazr Mohammed * | 21 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Fabricio Oberto * | 17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - |
| Beno Udrih * | 12 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Nick Van Exel * | 6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Brent Barry | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - |
| Sean Marks | 2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter