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2006-02-15

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors New York Knicks Spread Result
Elo 38.1% 61.9% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 48.2% 51.8% - โœ“
Margin 49.0% 51.0% +0.2 โœ“ (1.8 off)
Pythagorean 53.7% 46.3% - โœ—
Efficiency 60.7% 39.3% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 59.6% 40.4% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 59.6% 40.4% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 50.4% 49.6% - โœ—

Actual: New York Knicks +2 (98-96). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Chris Bosh * 43 8-14 0-0 9-12 7 2 0 1 5 25 16 -
Morris Peterson * 41 5-15 3-10 6-7 7 0 3 0 0 19 14 -
Mike James * 38 10-21 2-7 0-0 2 9 0 0 5 22 7 -
Antonio Davis * 37 4-8 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 0 0 8 7 -
Charlie Villanueva * 21 4-7 1-2 0-0 4 0 0 1 0 9 7 -
Jose Calderon * 17 2-6 0-0 0-0 2 2 3 0 1 4 4 -
Matt Bonner * 16 2-3 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 5 3 -
Eric Williams * 9 0-2 0-1 2-2 2 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
Pape Sow * 7 0-0 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
Loren Woods * 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
Joey Graham 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Darrick Martin 0 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Quentin Richardson * 44 5-10 1-2 3-4 7 4 0 0 1 14 14 -
Eddy Curry * 37 7-10 0-0 4-5 5 1 0 4 1 18 17 -
Jamal Crawford * 34 6-12 1-2 1-1 8 6 0 0 5 14 11 -
Jalen Rose * 26 3-8 0-1 11-12 3 0 0 0 3 17 9 -
David Lee * 20 2-2 0-0 1-2 2 1 0 1 0 5 7 -
Nate Robinson * 19 0-8 0-3 4-4 2 2 0 0 0 4 0 -
Malik Rose * 18 3-3 0-0 3-4 3 2 1 1 1 9 12 -
Qyntel Woods * 16 3-4 1-2 0-0 2 1 1 0 3 7 4 -
Channing Frye * 15 4-7 0-0 2-2 9 0 0 0 3 10 9 -
Maurice Taylor * 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter