Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Cleveland Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 59.3% | 40.7% | -2.1 | ✗ (16.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.4% | 46.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers +14 (101-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Duncan * | 36 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 21 | - |
| Tony Parker * | 32 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 4 | -4 | - |
| Bruce Bowen * | 30 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Manu Ginobili * | 28 | 5-11 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Rasho Nesterovic * | 20 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Michael Finley * | 18 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Nick Van Exel * | 18 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Nazr Mohammed * | 16 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Brent Barry * | 13 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Sean Marks * | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Beno Udrih | 9 | 4-4 | 3-3 | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Fabricio Oberto | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeBron James * | 40 | 19-33 | 1-3 | 5-8 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 44 | 21 | - |
| Eric Snow * | 36 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Drew Gooden * | 30 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Zydrunas Ilgauskas * | 29 | 8-19 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Stephen Graham * | 26 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Damon Jones * | 24 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Donyell Marshall * | 18 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Sasha Pavlovic * | 18 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Anderson Varejao | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Mike Wilks | 2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Martynas Andriuskevicius | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter