Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Pistons | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 22.4% | 77.6% | +6.8 | ✓ (4.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.7% | 60.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +2 (100-98). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rasheed Wallace * | 44 | 8-15 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 21 | 14 | - |
| Tayshaun Prince * | 40 | 2-12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Chauncey Billups * | 40 | 10-20 | 4-6 | 5-6 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 29 | 17 | - |
| Richard Hamilton * | 38 | 10-17 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 25 | 13 | - |
| Ben Wallace * | 33 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 11 | - |
| Antonio McDyess * | 14 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Carlos Delfino * | 12 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Maurice Evans * | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Dale Davis * | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Carlos Arroyo | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwyane Wade * | 42 | 15-27 | 0-1 | 7-9 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 37 | 23 | - |
| Shaquille O'Neal * | 37 | 14-24 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 31 | 16 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 32 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Gary Payton * | 31 | 6-13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 6 | - |
| James Posey * | 23 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Antoine Walker * | 23 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Jason Williams * | 22 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Shandon Anderson * | 15 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning * | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
* = starter