Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 34.9% | 65.1% | +3.4 | ✓ (5.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.6% | 54.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +9 (113-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 37 | 6-13 | 1-4 | 6-7 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 19 | 13 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 34 | 7-15 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Jerry Stackhouse * | 31 | 8-17 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 9 | - |
| Keith Van Horn * | 31 | 9-15 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 16 | - |
| Josh Howard * | 27 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 21 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 12 | - |
| Marquis Daniels * | 18 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Adrian Griffin * | 13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| DeSagana Diop * | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Darrell Armstrong | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -3 | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carmelo Anthony * | 39 | 7-16 | 0-1 | 10-14 | 1 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 24 | 17 | - |
| Kenyon Martin * | 37 | 14-18 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 34 | 29 | - |
| Greg Buckner * | 37 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 2-5 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Andre Miller * | 37 | 8-12 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 18 | - |
| Francisco Elson * | 30 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Eduardo Najera * | 25 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Earl Boykins * | 19 | 6-13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 1 | - |
| Linas Kleiza * | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Earl Watson * | 2 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter