Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Pistons | Orlando Magic | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.5% | 58.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 75.3% | 24.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 66.5% | 33.5% | -3.8 | ✓ (7.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.2% | 43.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 74.3% | 25.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 73.5% | 26.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 73.5% | 26.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 59.3% | 40.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Orlando Magic -11 (73-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rasheed Wallace * | 41 | 10-21 | 5-13 | 1-1 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 14 | - |
| Chauncey Billups * | 41 | 4-10 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 5 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 17 | - |
| Richard Hamilton * | 32 | 9-17 | 2-2 | 3-3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 8 | - |
| Tayshaun Prince * | 32 | 2-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Ben Wallace * | 32 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 12 | - |
| Antonio McDyess * | 22 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Carlos Delfino * | 15 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Maurice Evans * | 15 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Carlos Arroyo | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - |
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwight Howard * | 43 | 9-13 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 22 | - |
| DeShawn Stevenson * | 41 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Hedo Turkoglu * | 39 | 6-12 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 8 | - |
| Steve Francis * | 38 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Tony Battie * | 34 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | - |
| Keyon Dooling * | 19 | 3-10 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Pat Garrity * | 17 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -3 | - |
| Stacey Augmon * | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter