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2006-02-09

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Bulls Sacramento Kings Spread Result
Elo 24.4% 75.6% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 37.3% 62.7% - โœ“
Margin 31.9% 68.1% +4.2 โœ“ (13.8 off)
Pythagorean 46.4% 53.6% - โœ“
Efficiency 44.6% 55.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 43.8% 56.2% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 43.8% 56.2% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 41.6% 58.4% - โœ“

Actual: Sacramento Kings +18 (98-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Chris Duhon * 33 3-10 1-6 1-2 5 7 0 0 2 8 8 -
Tyson Chandler * 30 1-3 0-0 2-4 16 0 1 1 0 4 19 -
Andres Nocioni * 29 5-10 0-1 4-4 4 2 0 0 3 14 7 -
Darius Songaila * 27 6-13 0-0 2-4 6 2 1 0 2 14 8 -
Luol Deng * 22 2-7 0-2 0-0 3 1 0 1 0 4 2 -
Kirk Hinrich * 22 2-9 0-3 5-5 1 1 3 0 4 9 1 -
Ben Gordon * 18 2-9 0-1 0-0 0 1 2 0 2 4 -4 -
Jannero Pargo * 18 2-9 1-2 0-0 3 2 3 0 3 5 1 -
Michael Sweetney * 9 1-6 0-0 2-2 5 1 0 1 0 4 5 -
Othella Harrington * 8 2-4 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 4 1 -
Malik Allen 12 3-8 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 0 0 8 3 -
James Thomas 5 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kevin Martin * 41 6-11 4-8 7-7 8 3 2 0 0 23 25 -
Mike Bibby * 31 5-13 3-7 7-7 3 2 0 1 1 20 12 -
Francisco Garcia * 30 3-9 1-4 1-1 7 6 5 3 3 8 17 -
Metta World Peace * 30 4-13 1-5 0-0 6 7 2 1 1 9 11 -
Brad Miller * 28 5-11 0-2 1-2 5 2 0 2 2 11 7 -
Kenny Thomas * 24 2-9 0-0 1-3 7 1 0 0 1 5 3 -
Shareef Abdur-Rahim * 21 4-5 0-0 7-7 5 2 1 0 3 15 15 -
Brian Skinner * 11 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 0 1 -
Jason Hart 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -
Ronnie Price 6 2-2 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 5 2 -
Corliss Williamson 6 0-1 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 -

* = starter