Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 42.6% | 57.4% | +1.6 | ✓ (34.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +36 (112-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwyane Wade * | 32 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 31 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Shaquille O'Neal * | 27 | 9-12 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 23 | 18 | - |
| Gary Payton * | 24 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Shandon Anderson * | 21 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Antoine Walker * | 20 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Jason Williams * | 18 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Michael Doleac * | 18 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | - |
| James Posey * | 14 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jason Kapono * | 12 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Wayne Simien | 10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Gerald Fitch | 8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 31 | 11-16 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 27 | 18 | - |
| Josh Howard * | 29 | 5-10 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 29 | 6-10 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Jerry Stackhouse * | 25 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 24 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 16 | - |
| Adrian Griffin * | 24 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Keith Van Horn * | 23 | 5-9 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Marquis Daniels * | 16 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| DeSagana Diop * | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Devin Harris * | 8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Darrell Armstrong | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| DJ Mbenga | 4 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
* = starter