Model Predictions
| Model | Boston Celtics | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 41.9% | 58.1% | +1.8 | ✓ (14.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +16 (114-98). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Pierce * | 40 | 8-21 | 1-4 | 14-16 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 31 | 17 | - |
| Wally Szczerbiak * | 39 | 5-15 | 1-4 | 5-7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | -1 | - |
| Delonte West * | 35 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Raef LaFrentz * | 25 | 7-9 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 14 | - |
| Kendrick Perkins * | 24 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 15 | - |
| Michael Olowokandi * | 21 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Brian Scalabrine * | 19 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Tony Allen * | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Orien Greene * | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Ryan Gomes | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Gerald Green | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwyane Wade * | 38 | 10-17 | 1-1 | 13-15 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 34 | 34 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 30 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Shaquille O'Neal * | 28 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 21 | 15 | - |
| Jason Williams * | 27 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Gary Payton * | 26 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| James Posey * | 23 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Antoine Walker * | 22 | 5-11 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning * | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Shandon Anderson * | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Wayne Simien * | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Jason Kapono | 3 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter