Model Predictions
| Model | Orlando Magic | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 75.0% | 25.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.6% | 46.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 49.2% | 50.8% | +0.2 | ✓ (1.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.7% | 47.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 60.2% | 39.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 59.0% | 41.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 59.1% | 40.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.6% | 49.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks +2 (96-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steve Francis * | 40 | 11-19 | 2-2 | 6-7 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 30 | 20 | - |
| Dwight Howard * | 39 | 9-11 | 0-0 | 6-12 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 29 | - |
| Tony Battie * | 39 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 14 | - |
| DeShawn Stevenson * | 35 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Hedo Turkoglu * | 34 | 5-13 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Keyon Dooling * | 17 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -4 | - |
| Stacey Augmon * | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Pat Garrity * | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Travis Diener * | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Mario Kasun | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Johnson * | 40 | 8-13 | 2-4 | 5-6 | 4 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 25 | - |
| Al Harrington * | 38 | 7-20 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 10 | - |
| Josh Smith * | 35 | 7-15 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 15 | 18 | - |
| Zaza Pachulia * | 34 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Tyronn Lue * | 27 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Josh Childress * | 19 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Marvin Williams * | 19 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Royal Ivey * | 16 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Salim Stoudamire * | 6 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Esteban Batista | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter