Model Predictions
| Model | Cleveland Cavaliers | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 27.1% | 72.9% | +5.5 | ✓ (22.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.0% | 58.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +28 (101-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeBron James * | 39 | 12-29 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 29 | 12 | - |
| Sasha Pavlovic * | 37 | 3-11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | -5 | - |
| Eric Snow * | 27 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Zydrunas Ilgauskas * | 24 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Donyell Marshall * | 22 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Damon Jones * | 22 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Drew Gooden * | 18 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Anderson Varejao * | 18 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Luke Jackson | 12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Alan Henderson | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Mike Wilks | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Martynas Andriuskevicius | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Posey * | 38 | 4-9 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Gary Payton * | 37 | 6-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 34 | 11-20 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 16 | - |
| Shaquille O'Neal * | 27 | 10-15 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 14 | - |
| Jason Williams * | 26 | 2-10 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 25 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Antoine Walker * | 19 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning * | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 15 | - |
| Wayne Simien | 2 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Jason Kapono | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Shandon Anderson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Michael Doleac | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter