Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 39.1% | 60.9% | +2.4 | ✗ (3.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies -1 (80-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Terry * | 37 | 7-15 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 7 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 37 | 7-18 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 10 | - |
| Josh Howard * | 35 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 7-8 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 19 | - |
| Adrian Griffin * | 28 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Jerry Stackhouse * | 23 | 4-13 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 0 | - |
| DeSagana Diop * | 22 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 20 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 13 | - |
| Keith Van Horn * | 16 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Devin Harris * | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Marquis Daniels | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Darrell Armstrong | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pau Gasol * | 38 | 9-22 | 0-0 | 8-9 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 16 | - |
| Shane Battier * | 37 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 17 | - |
| Mike Miller * | 33 | 3-12 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Eddie Jones * | 32 | 2-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -3 | - |
| Chucky Atkins * | 29 | 6-9 | 2-4 | 4-6 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 13 | - |
| Brian Cardinal * | 24 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Bobby Jackson * | 21 | 1-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Lorenzen Wright * | 15 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Jake Tsakalidis * | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter