Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 37.7% | 62.3% | +2.8 | ✗ (8.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Houston Rockets -6 (95-101). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Posey * | 42 | 2-8 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 42 | 8-18 | 0-0 | 16-19 | 6 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 32 | 26 | - |
| Gary Payton * | 39 | 4-11 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Shaquille O'Neal * | 32 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 12-18 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 29 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 31 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Gerald Fitch * | 16 | 1-6 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Antoine Walker * | 16 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning * | 15 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Dorell Wright * | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tracy McGrady * | 45 | 13-37 | 4-15 | 7-10 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 37 | 22 | - |
| Rafer Alston * | 42 | 8-17 | 5-8 | 5-6 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 19 | - |
| David Wesley * | 32 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Juwan Howard * | 28 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 2 | - |
| Chuck Hayes * | 22 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Dikembe Mutombo * | 21 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Luther Head * | 19 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Lonny Baxter * | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Stromile Swift * | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Moochie Norris * | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Ryan Bowen | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter