Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Suns | Cleveland Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 50.1% | 49.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.6% | 52.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 49.5% | 50.5% | +0.1 | ✓ (6.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 58.8% | 41.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 59.4% | 40.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 59.4% | 40.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.7% | 49.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers +7 (113-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shawn Marion * | 47 | 8-15 | 1-2 | 5-5 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 18 | - |
| Steve Nash * | 38 | 10-21 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 13 | - |
| Leandro Barbosa * | 36 | 2-9 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | - |
| James Jones * | 36 | 6-12 | 4-8 | 4-5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 13 | - |
| Boris Diaw * | 33 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 15 | - |
| Kurt Thomas * | 21 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Eddie House * | 20 | 7-11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 6 | - |
| Pat Burke * | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeBron James * | 42 | 17-33 | 3-7 | 7-12 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 44 | 25 | - |
| Sasha Pavlovic * | 39 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Donyell Marshall * | 34 | 4-11 | 2-8 | 4-4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Damon Jones * | 32 | 4-10 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Drew Gooden * | 24 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Eric Snow * | 22 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Anderson Varejao * | 19 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Zydrunas Ilgauskas * | 18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Ira Newble * | 7 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
* = starter